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2024-12-14 00:31:18

CITIC Securities: In 2025, the performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, looking forward to 2025, the macro resilience will continue, and the superimposed GenAI technology will continue to be introduced. The performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue, which is reflected in online advertising, e-commerce, streaming media, local life, financial technology and other sectors. However, the Trump administration's tariff increase & industry regulatory policies, inflation data, AI technology progress, etc. are expected to be continuous disturbance variables and need to be closely watched. At the level of individual stocks, the first-line Internet giants will still be the basic allocation. At the same time, we suggest that investors appropriately increase the allocation of small and medium-sized stocks in the fields of advertising technology and financial technology to enhance portfolio flexibility.CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Japanese and Korean stock markets opened slightly lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down 0.02% at 39,357.77. South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 0.2% to 2,412.15 points.


Japanese and Korean stock markets opened slightly lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down 0.02% at 39,357.77. South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 0.2% to 2,412.15 points.CITIC Securities: The supply and demand pattern may meet the turning point, paying attention to the strategic allocation value of the magnesium industry. CITIC Securities Research Report said that magnesium prices have stopped falling and stabilized recently, and magnesium as a strategic attribute of China's superior resources is expected to continue to improve. At present, there is a widespread cost inversion in factories, and the willingness to support the price by cost is enhanced, and the purchasing and storage measures are superimposed. We believe that the magnesium price is expected to open an upward channel. At present, the ratio of magnesium to aluminum is reduced to about 0.9 at the bottom, which is conducive to the accelerated promotion of magnesium alloys, and the downstream fields such as new energy vehicles, low-altitude economy, humanoid robots and solid hydrogen storage have broad prospects.Argentine President Millai: Argentines can now trade in any currency.


Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 12.60 points, or 0.15%, at 8380.4 points on Wednesday, December 11th.New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.Xie Yunliang, macro chief analyst of Cinda Securities, said that historically, the establishment of a "moderately loose" policy orientation needs to meet two major conditions, namely, the domestic pressure to stabilize prices is high and the foreign Federal Reserve is in a loose cycle. At present, it is judged that both situations may exist next year.

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